With the regular season halfway at this point, the North Carolina Tar Heels are exceeding expectations. The Tar Heels are 5-1 and are playing some good football coming off a huge division win over Miami. Right now, leading the ACC Coastal division, the Tar Heels have between +600 and +700 odds to win the conference.
Is there value in betting on the Tar Heels at those numbers? Let’s take a look.
North Carolina ACC Championship Odds
North Carolina is in the sole position of first place in the ACC Coastal division. With that said, it is a bit crazy that their odds are north of +600 at most online sportsbooks. Clemson is at -300 and is the rightful favorite. Yet if the season ended today, the two teams would play in the ACC championship game. If that happens, chances are North Carolina would not be +600 on the money line. With that said, this may be the best value a bettor can get for a Tar Heels ACC championship.
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UNC Remaining Schedule Breakdown
UNC at Duke — Oct. 15
The Tar Heels are currently favored by 7 in this game and should stand a solid chance to win this one. North Carolina is looking to make it four wins in a row over its in-state rival. While Duke has had an excellent turnaround this season, it would be a shock for them to beat Carolina on Saturday. Unless UNC has a critical injury or gets the turnover bug, it would be hard to see them not returning to Chapel Hill with the Victory Bell.
Pittsburgh at UNC — Oct. 29
Early lines at various sportsbooks show Carolina as a 1-2 point favorite over the Panthers. That could change depending on how each team plays this upcoming weekend. It stands to reason that this game could be the de-facto division championship game. Pittsburgh and UNC are the two most talented teams in the division by a decent margin.
UNC at Virginia — Nov. 5
Virginia is struggling badly and is doubtful even to make a bowl game this year. This is a game where even if UNC has a letdown after hopefully two big wins in a row, it could still beat the Cavaliers.
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UNC at Wake Forest — Nov. 12
Potentially the most demanding game left on their schedule play at Wake Forest will be a battle for the Tar Heels. This may be the one game left on their regular season schedule that they may not be favored to win. Even with a loss, though, with the Demon Deacons in the other division of the ACC, it will likely not have a significant impact on UNC winning the Coastal Division.
Georgia Tech at UNC — Nov. 19
The last Coastal Division game for the Tar Heels could have them in a position to clinch the division crown. There are no guarantees, but playing a Yellow Jacket team in its second to last game and with an interim head coach, the Tar Heels should win, as they will be playing for a lot more at this point in the season.
NC State at UNC — Nov. 25
This is a challenging game in which a win would clinch a berth in the conference title game for North Carolina. UNC drew some tough crossover ACC games this year but managed to avoid Clemson, which is great. A home game, senior night, and against an in-state rival, the Tar Heels will likely be favored in this one.
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Good bet? Bad Bet?
Betting on UNC to win the ACC is a value bet. The potential payout may be worth sprinkling a little wager on it. Yet, all things considered, Clemson is the heavy favorite to win the title. The thing is, though, UNC would only need to beat Clemson once, and with UNC leading the Coastal Division right now, it has a leg up on the race to get to the conference title game. A ticket on UNC to win the conference title at +600 would be a nice one to have if UNC at least gets a shot on the big stage.
AP Photo/Hakim Wright Sr.